01943nab a22002897a 4500 55748 55748 55748 CL-SaANEPE 20211029005821.0 a||||| |||| 00| 0 160316t2019 xx ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d CL-SaANEPE CL-SaANEPE CL-SaANEPE US.SS/3/2019 Payne, Keith B. 16425 Realism, idealism, deterrence, and disarmament 13, 3 (fall 2019) :7-37 The general concepts of idealism and realism appear to have captured truths about what should be and what is, respectively. The idealist's contemporary focus on the humanitarian consequences of nuclear war surely is valid: the risks to humanity of the employment of nuclear weapons are simply so extreme in so many scenarios that nuclear war must be prevented. However, the contention that nuclear disarmament is the answer-and correspondingly nuclear deterrence must be demoted-presumes that the cooperative transformation of the interstate system necessary for disarmament is likely within a meaningful timeframe. Yet degrading nuclear deterrence now in favor of transformation and disarmament risks "waiting for Godot" because also valid is the realist's basic contention that the timely transformation of the interstate system needed for cooperative global nuclear disarmament appears implausible in the extreme. The apparent tranquility of the immediate post-Cold War period that led many to optimism in this regard no longer exists, and the premature demotion of nuclear deterrence could unintentionally precipitate its failure. IDEALISMO 35628 REALISMO 41622 DESARME 31816 DESARME NUCLEAR 31821 DISUASION NUCLEAR 32246 GUERRA NUCLEAR 35194 ARMAS NUCLEARES 27184 Strategic Studies Quarterly. 020904 REVA ddc OSS20191001 0 0 ddc 0 0 BC BC 2019-10-01 US.SS/3/2019 2019-10-01 2019-10-01 REVA